When Oceans Rise 10 FT

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10 ft of ocean rise
NOAA model of 10ft ocean rise along the northeastern coast

The US Geological Survey predicts that when all of the earth’s glaciers and ice caps are melted global sea level will rise about 230 feet. As a result, every coastal city on the planet will flood!

More trouble is on the way in the Antarctic as regional ice shelves are shattering.  “An unexpected ice shelf collapse in East Antarctica, after temperatures spiked 70°F above normal, highlights bigger problems in the West, where one glacier could singlehandedly raise global sea levels several feet.”

NASA, NOAA, and USGS predict a 10 to 12-inch sea level rise by 2050. You can see what drastic damage can be done by just one ft of ocean rise by clicking on this interactive map Interactive Map Click  Me.

Find your own flood vulnerability quickly with your cell phone. Herkimer Village is 384 feet above sea level.  384230 = 154 ft between you and sea level 🙂. You can find your exact elevation with a GPS Altitude or Elevation App.

If you want to avoid living in a flood zone stay away from the coast and also beware of creeks and rivers.

We moved to Herkimer from Sarasota, FL over 8 years ago to avoid coastal flooding!

Be smart and keep safe.

Linda Kaidan

 

Train Track Remnants of David L. Bond Jr

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By Linda Kaidan

In his 40’s a former resident of a burned-out building in downtown Herkimer, David Bond may have fled to the fields adjacent to the railroad tracks by West Canada Creek. Earlier this year, there was a neat and shipshape tent on the banks of that river.  Were these sad remnants his?

Walk to CSX tracks on trail behind H&R Block
The trail along Protection Ave berm leads to railroad tracks

The crushed gray tent curled and disheveled pages of several books, a sleeping bag, and camping implements lying next to the train tracks behind the H&R Block Building on West State Street are testimony to an event of much anger and anguish!

Herkimer Homeless
Last Possessions of David
Herkimer Homeless
Taking Care of Mom and Dad
Herkimer Homeless
David’s book about sharks

Where do you go when you are homeless? Does anyone care? With climate change devastation we should help the homeless and provide secure temporary housing for them. It is not ethical to leave them to die or be beaten up by those more fortunate.

Herkimer Homeless
David’s health card lies among his abandoned possessions., the ultimate gesture of hopelessness.

Homelessness is growing. We hope that the State of New York will create safe temporary encampments for the needy in inland regions like central, northern, and western New York. We should do this quickly using low-cost materials like high-wall tents and shipping containers. The homeless themselves can help create safe refuges while learning valuable skills.

Lack of effective action will result in more crime, disease, violence, and waste of funds.

We CAN Save Our Planet!

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by Linda Kaidan

Youth everywhere are feeling tremendous anger at previous generations for destroying our planet. Just this morning I heard a kid complaining that going to school is a waste of time because the world is going to end anyway. Joining the chorus of defeatist chants are some scientists who say we cannot fix the weather.

Fight destructive actions. Solve problems. While climate change disasters and destruction caused by reprehensible humans are daily occurrences all over the planet, amazing discoveries and technological advancements are happing all the time.

Right now there is a race to colonize Mars and the Moon. Neither have an atmosphere we can breathe or gravity that humans can tolerate long-term. On the moon, temperatures range from -280 F to 260 F. On Mars, they range from -220 F to + 70 F. Very thin atmosphere enables space debris to hit the surface with high impact because there’s no resistance.

Is it really easier to survive in space than on Earth? Despite major obstacles, NASA’s 2021 space budget is 23.3 billion.  This year NASA awarded $2.9 Billion to SpaceX to build a Moon Lander. The Space  Foundation reported that the nearly half a trillion-dollar global space economy grew by 4.4% in 2020. This kind of investment shows strong confidence that humans can live elsewhere in our solar system and beyond. We should have equal faith in life on Earth!

Can we fix our climate? You bet we can! On Earth, we have all the basics that we need for survival. These include oxygen, water, and the mineral base life on our planet evolved with. There is limitless energy potential. We can stop our planet from burning by reducing the amount of sun that reaches our atmosphere. We can protect our communities from wind and flood with intelligent building technologies.

Saying and doing are not the same things. Hope and plans must be accompanied by action! No matter what your age, find a way to contribute. Learn as much as you can and create your own team of activists to help your community whether global or local.

Be the inventors, investors, and contributors you need to be to save your future and the future of all life on our planet!

Climate Change Projected To Improve Herkimer NY Economy

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by Linda Kaidan

 We’re republishing this prophetic article, first posted in June 2017, to help those researching places to move to in upstate New York following the devastation of Hurricane Ida.

Yesterday’s New York Times discussed damage to our economy likely to be caused by climate change. Herkimer County NY (see above map) is likely to have GDP growth of at least 5% per year rather than GDP decline. This is indicated by the dark green color on the map. Similar advantages of climate are shared by west Alaska, adjacent Hamilton County and Maine.

Climate Change DEMOGRAPHICS will transform herkimer

The Herkimer Post’s recent review of Herkimer’s soaring home sales strongly hints that retirees who might once have moved South are relocating to Central New York, and especially to conveniently-located Herkimer. Given increasingly refined and alarming climate change figures, this migration trend’s likely to accelerate. 

There’s little residential construction in Herkimer and the supply of available housing is small. Competition for existing homes will become brisk. Buyers of vacation homes may also be turning their eyes from the sandy but imperiled Atlantic and Gulf beach communities north to the Mohawk Valley and Southern Adirondacks.

A critical mass of middle and upper-middle-class home buyers inevitably transform a community. Landlords either sell out or renovate properties to appeal to affluent newcomers. Empty storefronts become shops again. The police become responsive and the streets safe as criminals move on, no longer tolerated and unable to make a living. We saw this transformation happen in Boston’s Roxbury and Charlestown, and we’re seeing it begin here in Herkimer.

Promising new technologies can reduce greenhouse gas

Climate change becomes more erratic and costly every year. Yet there are many technologies that will help combat this devastating process. As our president continues to deny climate change, some technology innovators are filling the gap left by ineffectual governance.

Bill Gates is heading a $1 billion venture fund supporting development of clean energy technology, Breakthrough Energy Ventures. Co-founders include Jeff Bezos and Richard Brandon. The goal of the fund is to build companies that will provide affordable emissions-free energy. Gates is personally investing $1 billion in startups and companies starting this year.

Climeworks, a new Swiss company hopes to extract 1% of worldwide CO2 from the atmosphere by 2025. Company founders Christoph Gebald and Jan Wurzbacher invented a Direct Air Capture (DAC) technology while students at ETH Zurich. They have lowered the cost of CO2 extraction from the air to less than $600 per ton. Climeworks envisions that they can create 250,000 plants by 2025.

Reducing greenhouse gases is essential to the planet’s survival, but blocking the sun may buy some time. Today there are over 375 operational nanosatellites in space, which may help us to find and improve climate change solutions.

As the earth grows ever hotter, it makes sense to consider moving to those green places on the map which are the most sustainable to live in, places like Herkimer, NY.

From September 16, 2017:

Herkimer County Ideal for Hurricane Refugees

Herkimer Hydraulic Canal No Longer Exists Yet Lowers Property Values

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Herkimer Hydraulic Canal Park

by Linda Kaidan

Final phase of Herkimer's Hydraulic Canal project is finished. (View from East Smith Street toward the Mohawk River.)
A section of the now completed Hydraulic Canal project, looking toward the Mohawk River from East Steele Street. Despite the out-of-date FEMA Flood maps, the area is no longer a flood risk

What is Herkimer’s Hydraulic Canal? How does it impact FEMA flood designations which influence both property values and the cost of flood insurance?

In the 1830’s Herkimer, NY was home to several major industries including furniture manufacturing and a paper mill. Local companies made use of hydraulic energy to power their production enabled by the construction of the Herkimer Hydraulic Canal. The canal’s water originated in West Canada Creek.

Ancient map of Herkimer's Hydraulic Canal, published by New Department of Environmental Conservation.
Ancient map of Herkimer’s Hydraulic Canal, published by New Department of Environmental Conservation.

“An oompah band can march most of the length of the former canal.

Eventually, the canal was no longer used and became a dumping site and a flood hazard. By 2021, a remediation project succeeded in making the hydraulic canal area much safer. The former Herkimer Hydraulic Canal is now cleaned, filled in, and flood safe. It is now a lovely green space.  An oompah band can march most of the length of the former canal. Newer parts of the greenway are fenced off and hopefully will become a village park that leads to the banks of the Mohawk River.

Herkimer Hydraulic Canal(left). View from East Steele St.
Hydraulic Canal (left) where it crosses beneath East Steele Street and continues on to the Mohawk River to the right.

If you think your property has incorrect FEMA flood zoning you can submit a zoning change to FEMA!

It appears that remediation has not yet become part of the FEMA flood risk map commonly used by realtor.com. FEMA still shows this area as a dangerous flood zone (FEMA flood map-featured image-top). It continues to adversely impact local property values and gives potential home buyers concern.
If you are selling a home along the former hydraulic canal please contact FEMA to change your flood zone rating using this link.  If you are planning on getting flood insurance, you should also consider examining your FEMA designation and make an effort to correct it where applicable. It can save you from higher premiums!

The current FEMA Flood Map shows flooding in zones where Herkimer Hydraulic Canal has been filled in.
The current FEMA Flood Map shows flooding in zones where Herkimer Hydraulic Canal has been filled in.

Herkimer Soars As Americans Migrate From Coasts

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Stephen Ames Berry

Herkimer’s soaring into a brave new world, as people migrating from our coasts to climate and pandemic safety zones such as upstate New York move here, contending briskly for homes. A house in our cute conveniently located village seems to sell every 90 seconds, even as prices continue ever upward. The sharp-eyed will have spotted license plates from as far away as Alaska and Washington state, California and Texas, with the Carolinas and Florida well-represented. 

There are a phenomenal number of people scoping out our once forgotten area. Linda Kaidan’s photos of the Mohawk Valley, centered on Herkimer, have had over 4 million views. In the last 30 days, The Herkimer Post has enjoyed almost 15,000 page views, 90% of them from new visitors. We have a well-earned reputation for telling it as it is. And you do want to know how it is there before you commit to someplace new. (“We Publish What They Won’t” proclaims our masthead. We are not “The Herkimer Happy Hour.”)

Herkimer Post 30 Day Page Views as of 5.4.21
Herkimer Post 30 Day Page Views as of 5.4.21

When the eviction moratorium ends, we’ll probably see more houses for sale here as nonpaying tenants are moved on and battered owners decide to wash their hands of what was once a safe, reliable investment. Even then there won’t be enough housing stock to meet the press of the demand.

Historically in boom times, undeveloped land is the next to go. Given the rapid growth of chip manufacturing in Upstate, notably Cree in Utica, this region may become the new Silicon Valley. Hopefully, New York will impose strict controls on growth. I hope we won’t see our magnificent countryside crammed with houses and choked by traffic. 

Climate change projected to improve Herkimer NY economy

 

“Jews Telling People What To Do!” Kim Vargas’ Brother-in-Law, Thug Vargas, Moves On

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Stephen Ames Berry

Thursday, 3/18, gave a brief glimpse of the simmering conflict between Herkimer’s entrenched gang families, their combat-seasoned neighbors, and the Herkimer community’s desire to see drug and child trafficking gone. Its focal point was the angry departure of Thug Vargas from 328 Pleasant Ave. Thug is the brother-in-law of our immediate neighbor Kim Vargas, who we’ve outed for drug trafficking and neighbor harassment. Don’t know his first name, but Thug is appropriate. (Surely there’s a warrant out somewhere on this guy?)

At 12:24 pm we heard enraged males shouting incoherently, off-camera, from the direction of the Vargas’ driveway. It’s next to landlord Jay Smith’s 326 1/2 Pleasant Avenue, aka The Drunks’ House.  The loudest voice sounded like Kim Vargas’ brother-in-law, Thug Vargas—we know his voice from the Vargases’ threats and harassment. (“Kick your teeth down your throat.” I was trimming my yard.)

“We waited, but no pitchforks-and-torches mob descended on us…

Our indefatigable resident Jew popped outside for a moment as the angry shouting continued. “Some guy screamed ‘…Jews telling people what to do!” she reported. I pulled the audio feed. Couldn’t distinguish much from amid the berserk male voices. I may have heard “scum” repeated a few times. We waited, but no pitchforks-and-torches mob descended on us, for which we thank the well-known synergy between our surveillance cameras and law enforcement.

Video Timeline

12:26 pm (0.01-0.17) Thug Vargas gets into U-Haul and drives off. Haven’t seen him since.

12:29 – 12:32 pm (0.18-1:10) Two Herkimer Police officers visit with the Vargases. (We didn’t call them. Our thanks to whoever did.)

1: 55pm – 2:04 pm (01:14-end)  In the tradition of Jew gassing… I was out on an errand. Our driveway was clean when I left and filled with the usual pesticide when I returned. Only two vehicles passed in that brief time. One was neighbor Joyce Barton’s (333 Pleasant) gray car, the other an unfamiliar pickup truck. Over the years we’ve documented the drug-dealing Bartons’ rich history of harassment, assault and poison gassing of us.

With the weather turning nice we expect some of our murderous band of neighbors will try to resume their traditional Spring harassment and poisoning offensive. (Year eight.) In the past, we’ve overheard that our child trafficking and drug trafficking videos “hurt a lot of families”.

Herkimer Police respond to Kim Vargas 328 Pleasant Avenue
3.18.21 Herkimer Police respond to Kim Vargas’ 328 Pleasant Avenue again.

Herkimer Folks Not A Pack of Rabid Bigots

Note to new readers: We’ve been getting thousands of views per month from ip addresses across the US. Except for our child trafficking series, this is unusual for us. We assume many are from people looking to relocate. Underway now seems to be the start of the largest mass migration since the fall of the Roman Empire. Certainly, any decent real estate in our village is sold almost the instant its listed. License plates from coastal states and as far way as Alaska, California,and Nevada have been spotted in the Walmart parking lot.

About those Devolved Humans In Our Videos

The devolved humans on our street and in our videos aren’t reflective of Herkimer as a whole. Pleasant Avenue has long a gang street, and we’re ringed by the several houses still occupied by gang members, dug in like ticks.

Kyle Stone performs
Herkimer’s post child of a devolved human: Our neighbor Kyle “Gonna sell crack until I die” Stone, 328 Pleasant Avenue

It’s become obvious that the wholesale drug and child trafficking reported here has sharply declined. Regional and federal law enforcement have eyes in the skies and boots on the ground, and we quickly post about evildoing. Backed by the state police, the Herkimer PD has stepped up and respond speedily and effectively.  Herkimer and all of Upstate New York are an area in transition.

Much of the property here in south Herkimer village is in sound shape, with spacious, sturdy 19th-century homes built by the master carpenters of the vanished Herkimer Standard Desk Company. They’re underpriced and in the most flood-safe part of the village, neighborhoods protected by a network of well-maintained dykes.

Flood control berm Herkimer NY
One of Herkimer’s many flood control berms.

Those properties will come on the market once their owners are convinced that housing traffickers is no longer profitable. 

The area around Herkimer’s gorgeous, sitting as it does at the confluence of the Mohawk River and West German Creek., an easy fifteen-minute walk from our home:

 

 

 

Welcome Herkimer Newcomers! But Beware

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Stephen Ames Berry

Welcome Herkimer newcomers! It’s obvious you’re here–there are but a paltry handful of houses for sale in our pinch-its-cute-little-cheeks village. (Locals are over their shock and quickly fixing up properties.) The good stuff quickly vanishes even as realtors scramble for listings. Same throughout the Mohawk Valley. And Utica! Talk about a renaissance. That grimy old rustbelt city looks like someone swung wide its top and is pouring in the hidden horde of Bernie Madoff. After years here in the trenches and predicting this, it’s exciting and gratifying. 

If you’ve been reading our blog, you know much about the hidden Herkimer we stumbled into 7 years ago. #HereBeDragons And yet still you came.

But as many of you came bearing license plates from as far away as California, Texas, Alaska and Washington (“The Evergreen State” their plate read hopefully), you may not know of the false promises of our New York weather. Today, for example, holds the promise of an early spring. As with many things Herkimer, appearances can be deceiving. Fulfilling our civic duty to warn, below’s a pictorial guide to New York weather. (Tip: Now’s a great time to buy a snowblower.)

Again, welcome aboard. The world and Herkimer are changing around us. Don’t know how it’ll all shake out, but just by moving here, you’ve infused new life and possibilities into our cynical old village. Going to be good days ahead. Stay safe.

Herkimer weather unmasked

 

Fast 3D-Printed Housing in New York State: A Simple Solution for a Complex Time

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Linda Kaidan

PERI, a German technology company, has been the first to create a 3D printed multistory building that is fully German certified. The BOD2 3D printer can construct a 3 story building of 10,000 square feet.

With construction supplies in short demand, it’s a relief to see the debut of a new construction methodology that can decrease construction prices by 50% or more. 3D printing robots have become more functional than ever, and now can be used to create buildings of up to 3 stories. This multi-story functionality is especially important, as it can reduce urban sprawl.  We need never again create another San Fernando Valley of congestion, unbreathable air, and unaffordable homes.

Upstate New York has experienced a massive shortage of housing in the last year. Few homes are available for sale. Housing unavailability is also driven by many who see central and northern NY as an ideal location for remote work and home offices at a more reasonable price than their current homes in more urban areas. Statistics published by the New York State Association of Realtors for the 12 month period ending January 2021 indicate that sales increased by 16.7% and inventory dropped by 26.7%.

Constructiondive.com reports significant increases in basic building material costs over the past year, much of it the result of Covid-19 disruption:

Material % change Jan. 2020
to Jan. 2021
Iron and steel 15.6%
Steel mill products 7.4%
Softwood lumber 73%

SOURCE: Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of BLS data

3D Printing to the Rescue!

3D printed homes are constructed from concrete paste, typically mixed from local materials. Floors and walls, both interior and exterior, are extrusion printed by giant robots which are programmed to manufacture predesigned and tested structures on site. This construction can often be completed in a matter of days and includes whimsical curves that are far more enchanting than right angles and parallel planes. Home construction robots can cost $250,000 and up, but careful research and selection of a manufacturer will help to quickly build cost-efficient, high-quality housing. We certainly hope to see some local 3D printed housing soon spring up here in Upstate New York.

Recent 3D print housing projects in the US include gorgeous $10k Austin TX homeless housing and a home in Millbrook, NY listed for sale on Trulia for $300,000. Don’t be shy! Buy a nice abandoned farm and turn it into an attractive, affordable 3D printed home community. Help house our future😊

350 Botswana Elephants Dead: Suspect Cyanobacteria

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by Linda Kaidan

350 Dead Elephants - Cyanobacteria?
Will automated Cyanobacteria Assessment prevent animal deaths in future?

Aerial photographs show groups of dead elephants near ponds. The 350 Botswana Elephants dead appear to have suddenly succumbed after showing signs of neurological impairment. One elephant walked in circles before falling dead on the ground.

While no tissues have been examined to determine cause of death, it is clear that foul play is unlikely. Poachers are not among the suspects as no one removed the elephant tusks. Poison is also not indicated, because predators did not become ill after feeding on the dead elephants.

Cyanobacteria are commonly occurring fresh and salt-water bacteria which can produce cyanotoxins and cause sudden death by asphyxiation. Under all too common conditions ponds and water supplies can become dangerously contaminated.

US multi agency project currently working on remote detection of toxic blooms

US Environmental Protection Agency’s Cyan Project uses satellite based remote sensing to identify toxic algae blooms from space.  The EPA has joined forces with NASA, NOAA and USGS to tackle this widespread water quality problem with a comprehensive automated solution. This project has been ongoing in the US since 2015.

Remote images capture water color which can be used to identify phytoplankton blooms and the presence of cyanobacteria. The Cyan Project is currently validating data collected via remote sensing and analysis against field collected data to determine the accuracy of the remote sensing acquisition process. US federal and state participants including government, educational institutions and private research groups together with published peer reviewed papers will provide a basis of comparison. Required data includes cyanobacteria counts, location and date.

If water quality analysis can be automated around the globe, IOT devices at ponds and lakes can generate audible water quality warnings immediately to deter humans and wildlife from drinking contaminated water. In the meantime, we must do our best to monitor water sources to protect all animals across the globe.

View  available data with android app CyAN

You can view currently available toxic bloom data in US water bodies on your android device . Just download CyAN from GooglePlay and try it:)